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Tons of Favorable Polls

Marriage equality Videos

By Matt Baume

Sorry we missed an episode last week — we were a little busy livestreaming Brad Pitt and George Clooney to the entire world. Meanwhile, there’s been a ton of new polling data from around the country, and it’s all encouraging. And more bad news for NOM: they’re under investigation by the Minnesota Elections Board, and the US Supreme Court has refused to play along with their attempts to hide donors. And after a brief flurry of activity, efforts to overturn a marriage ban in Ohio appear to have stalled out.

Well it was a sold-out crowd at the Wilshire Ebell for last week’s production of “8,” but the show went global with a livestream on YouTube. A quarter million people tuned in to see it live, and since then a half million more have watched. And there new developments in case: last week lawyers for the plaintiffs asked the Ninth Circuit to deny a rehearing and to let our decisive victory stand.

In national news, another poll shows increasing support for marriage equality. The latest is from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, and gives us a 49 to 40 percent advantage. This follows eight other polls over the last two years that show a majority supports the freedom to marry.

State polls are also encouraging, with a survey in Maryland showing 54 to 44 support for marriage equality. Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley signed a marriage bill last week, but anti-gay opponents are likely to force it to a referendum.

New polls in Maine are still close, showing that 51 to 41 percent support overturning that state’s marriage ban. And last week the US Supreme Court put an end to NOM’s attempts to hide their donors. It’s unclear when those donors’ identities will finally be revealed, but it’s likely to be before the November elections.

In New Jersey, our lead is even stronger: 57 to 37 percent in favor of marriage equality. A new study there shows that marriage equality would bring $119 million to the state.

In Iowa, voters favor keeping marriage equality, 56 to 36 percent. And the final survey of the week comes from California, which shows us with 59% support.

These numbers are all pretty good — but it’s important to keep in mind that surveys aren’t the same as votes. None of these states currently have anti-gay campaign ads running, so the numbers are likely to change dramatically as we approach November. There’s still a lot of work to do.

And last this week, there’s been a bump in the road in Ohio. Organizers there had attempted to overturn the state’s marriage ban. But this week the Attorney General announced that their measure lacked an adequate description, which means we may have to wait until next year. In the mean time, Equality Ohio will continue its work promoting safe schools and non-discrimination.

Those are the headlines, visit us over at MarriageNewsWatch.com for more on all these stories and more. And AFER.org for more on the fight to win full federal marriage equality. I’m Matt Baume at the American Foundation for Equal Rights. We’ll see you next week.

27 Comments

  • 1. Sagesse  |  March 13, 2012 at 12:38 pm

    @

  • 2. Seth from Maryland  |  March 13, 2012 at 1:09 pm

    Maine Lawmakers Send Same-Sex Marriage Measure to Ballot; Polls Show Voters Likely to Approve

    Read more: http://www.towleroad.com/2012/03/maine-lawmakers-

  • 3. Str8Grandmother  |  March 13, 2012 at 1:39 pm

    I am really encouraged by the Iowa numbers, 56% + and 36% –
    Iowa is middle America, down home blue collar salt of the earth people. It shows that once Civil marriage for Same Gender Couples is instituted, that fear drops away, and people realize it is really no big deal. The timing in California was really unfortunate, if it were not for the LIES of NOM it would have turned out different. They had to lie to win, we don't. Big Difference.

    I wish I knew why the polls are turning in our favor. Do you think the repeal of DADT is having some influence? Or what is it? Why are people changing and becoming more accepting? Are we just pain wearing them down, that we manage to get this in the media like all the time, especially with the election politics?

  • 4. Bob  |  March 13, 2012 at 1:49 pm

    Of course the repeal of DADT makes a difference,,,, plus everyone is talking about it,, it's the hot topic of today,,,,, and I think they finally get it that they have too become informed and make a stand,,, they realize this issue is not going away,,,, it needs to be addressed,,,,,

    And I think middle America may surprise us all,,, when I think of how things happened in Canada,,,, at some point everyone just accepted it and moved on,,,, they get passed it,,,,, those people in states that haven't had it made a big issue,,, are easier to come to grips with it on a personal level,, and make the right choice for equality,,,,,, you'e right they haven't been fed the NOM lies,,,,,,,like California

  • 5. Seth from Maryland  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:02 pm

    we too :) Str8Grandmother, i been encouraged by everything these last last couple of months , i think 2012 could be the year that we tear down that wall, if we could just get a win NC it could give us the very last momentum we need to win this fight

  • 6. Seth from Maryland  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:15 pm

    congrats to Denmark, Marriage equality coming to Denmark!
    At her weekly press conference, Tuesday, Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt said the government is putting the finishing touches to a bill that will come into force on June 15th, allowing homosexuals and lesbians to walk down the aisle in the church of their choice – if they can find a priest who’s willing to conduct the ceremony.
    “It will always be up to the individual priest as to whether he or she is prepared to bless gay couples but this legislation provides homosexuals with the same rights as heterosexuals,” said the PM.

    Denmark will become the eleventh country in the world to recognize full marriage equality

    .

  • 7. Str8Grandmother  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:25 pm

    Bob = "at some point everyone just accepted it and moved on"

    SGM= You are saying in Canada it just became kind of a critical mass and people simply stopped caring enough to protest and accepted it. Did Canada get Civil Marriage by a Judicial decision? I'm trying to remember how it happened.

  • 8. Tim in Sonoma  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:26 pm

    I recieved an email from that loving group onemillionmoms.com today pushing people to attend the first Marriage America conference at the Rosen Plaza Hotel in Orland Florida, April 12-14th. They are calling all pastors (who else to call when promoting discrimination). —–> http://marriageamerica.com/ Just FYI in case anyone in that area would like to organize a little party of their own in front of the hotel while Tony Perkins spreads hate and lies to a bunch of gullable sheeple on the inside. Go get em!

  • 9. Str8Grandmother  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:32 pm

    Seth I have seen your name for a long time here on P8TT, and have read so many of your comments. The Minute you get Same Gender Civil Marriage in Maryland, I will be thinking of you buddy. It is a very big deal if African Americans are now in favor of same gender civil marriage. Maybe it will finally be like the Catholics where individual Catholics started thinking for themselves instead of blindly following Rome.

    Most African Americans are Evangelicals, Baptists etc,. could it possibly be that they are just now doing what members of the Catholic Church have done for a while now? In other words, think for themselves, value the American Ideal of separation of Church and State and so they are not listening to their dogmatic religious leaders but instead thinking for themselves?

    I wish I knew what exactly, the breakthrough is with the change in African Americans. Why did they change, and why are they continuing to change towards Civil Marriage Equality? Why?

  • 10. Tim in Sonoma  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:32 pm

    Here is a link to the Rosen Plaza Hotel in Orlando——> http://www.rosenplaza.com/

  • 11. Str8Grandmother  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:38 pm

    Do you think it is Eddie Long? That pastor down in Atlanta who had sexual liaisons with young men from the church who were above the age of consent, but still.

    Another black pastor with a big following is that one that Dr. Phil Likes, what is his name? I can't think of his name but he has a huge church I think it is in Texas, his son is gay.

    Is it New York? Is it DADT? Is it the fact that we have won virtually every Court Case from DADT to Prop 8 so far? Is it the TV show Fame? Is it Lady Gaga? Is it the bullycide of so many sexual minority youth? Why are people changing in significant numbers, towards Civil Rights for Sexual Minorities?

  • 12. Str8Grandmother  |  March 13, 2012 at 2:40 pm

    Do you think President Obama is influencing African Americans relative to Civil Rights for Sexual Minorities? Do you think that they will listen to him whereas they could care less what Str98Grandmother has to say? How big of influence, if any, do you think Obama has on this issue with citizens who are African American?

  • 13. Bob  |  March 13, 2012 at 5:51 pm

    interesting to look back,,,, eight provinces got it through the courts,, before Civil Marriage was legislated,,, that happened between 2003 -2005
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Same-sex_marriage_in

  • 14. Seth from Maryland  |  March 13, 2012 at 9:41 pm

    thanks Str8Grandmother :) ur words mean alot, thanks , you know when this fight is over it will not affect my life much because i've already got to marry the most important person in my life, my lovely wife Kacey, but this fight is still very important too me because the other most imporant person to me is my sister who can't marry the the most important person in her life, no one in this damn country has the right to tell a person who they can and cant love, and no one has right to tell them they can't celebrate that love

  • 15. Bill S.  |  March 14, 2012 at 5:37 am

    I know you mean well Str8Grandmother, but I absolutey cannot stand it when people characterize the Mid-West as the "real America." The Iowa poll numbers are encouraging because Iowa is a more conservative state, not because they are more "down-to-earth" than us "elitist" New Englanders.

  • 16. Bill S.  |  March 14, 2012 at 5:37 am

    I still don't get my hopes up unless a poll reaches 60% support and I think only two states have gotten there: Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

  • 17. Glen  |  March 14, 2012 at 10:31 am

    Wow love that video.

    Very powerful.

  • 18. Seth from Maryland  |  March 14, 2012 at 11:03 am

    isn't newyork close to 60% now

  • 19. AnonyGrl  |  March 14, 2012 at 11:27 am

    Just sent them a "shame on you for hosting a hate group, and I will never stay at your hotel" email.

  • 20. Jacob  |  March 14, 2012 at 4:28 pm

    And the UK

  • 21. Jacob  |  March 14, 2012 at 4:30 pm

    I think California and New Hampshire are close as well. Vermont hasn't been polled lately, but there should be no doubt it's over 60%.

  • 22. Tim in Sonoma  |  March 14, 2012 at 7:42 pm

    Me too! Excellent! Thank you AnonyGrl…

  • 23. Tim in Sonoma  |  March 14, 2012 at 7:51 pm

    I think California was almost there pre-prop 8 until the church's got involved with their scare tactics!
    I was sure prop 8 would not pass as I thought California was better than that.I still think it is as long as Californian's are not being fed a bunch of lies!

  • 24. Str8Grandmother  |  March 14, 2012 at 8:34 pm

    I would have never even thought it possible at the start of 2010 when the Prop 8 trial stated with the actual trial testimony. Australia is not there yet either but at least there seems to be movement. Nepal? Well good for them!

  • 25. Str8Grandmother  |  March 14, 2012 at 8:36 pm

    I hope Minnesota prevails and does not enshrine Discrimination into their Constitution. North Carolina also.

  • 26. David  |  March 15, 2012 at 3:37 am

    Nepal have included the rights of all couples to marry, regardless of gender, into their new post-monarchy constitution. The only thing waiting is for the new constitution to be officially adopted and marriage equality is instantly enacted. They've pretty much tied up all the loose ends now, meaning it won't be long. This means that Australasia will be the only continental region not to have at least one country where full marriage equality is implemented.

    So Aussies and Kiwis need to keep up the pressure. Even Africa is beating you, guys!!

  • 27. David  |  March 15, 2012 at 3:43 am

    They'll be many more before our government gets to finalising everything. Uruguay and Columbia in 2013, possibly even Brazil and France if the wind blows correctly.

    The UK has multiple legal systems depending on which country you are in, so I suspect Scotland will permit full marriage for same-sex couples in advance of England and Wales. As for Northern Ireland, well, don't expect it this Parliament. The biggest party, the DUP, are very intolerant "for religious reasons". Unless the nationalist Sinn Fein and the more moderate Unionist parties can pick up votes next time that one will probably take a UK Supreme Court decision to force it through.

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