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11/14 open thread


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  • 1. VIRick  |  November 14, 2022 at 5:49 pm

    Guanajuato: 201 Equal Marriages Celebrated So Far in 10 Months of 2022

    Guanajuato: Celebran 201 Matrimonios Igualitarios en Lo Que Va del 2022

    De acuerdo con datos de la Dirección General del Registro Civil, de enero al 01 de noviembre 2022, en el estado de Guanajuato se registraron 201 matrimonios igualitarios. De estos, 139 fueron entre mujeres y 62 entre hombres, distribuidos en 30 de los 46 municipios del estado.

    León es la ciudad que concentra la mayor cantidad, con 54, 12 entre hombres y 42 entre mujeres. Le sigue Irapuato con 36, 10 entre hombres y 26 entre mujeres, mientras que en tercer sitio está Guanajuato Capital, donde se han registrado 20 uniones entre personas del mismo sexo, 9 entre hombres y 11 entre mujeres.

    According to data from the General Directorate of the Civil Registry, from January to 1 November 2022, 201 equal marriages were registered in Guanajuato state. Of these, 139 were between women and 62 between men, distributed throughout 30 of the 46 municipalities in the state.

    León is the city that celebrated the greatest number, with 54, 12 between men and 42 between women. It was followed by Irapuato with 36, 10 between men and 26 between women, while in third place was Guanajuato Capital, where 20 unions have been registered between same-sex couples, 9 between men and 11 between women.

  • 2. VIRick  |  November 14, 2022 at 6:14 pm

    US Senate: Schumer Files for Cloture on Respect for Marriage Act

    This week, the US Senate is expected to pass the Respect for Marriage Act, a measure which would codify some of the protections for same-sex and interracial couples that were established by the Supreme Court, but which at some point in the future could be weakened or overturned by the High Court’s conservative super-majority.

    Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) just filed for cloture on the legislation, an aide to Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) told the "Washington Blade." The “first vote will be on Wednesday,” 16 November 2022, the aide said.….

  • 3. VIRick  |  November 14, 2022 at 8:59 pm

    US House: 3 More Seats Have Been Called; 14 More Remain Undetermined

    To re-cap, at the end of the weekend, the called tally had been Ds at 206 and Rs at 212.

    Then, an error of attribution needs to be corrected for the Democrats within their count of 206. The 2 seats the Democrats will very likely win due to ranked-choice voting, AK-1 and ME-2, are not yet included within that 206, although I had mistakenly been led to believe that they were. Instead, these two California seats are the two that should have been counted within that figure, as both Democratic incumbents have beaten their challenger:

    CA-6 Bera (i)(D) v. Hamilton (R)
    CA-26 Brownley (i)(D) v. Jacobs (R)

    Now, as of tonight, 14 November, the Republicans gained 2 seats, standing at 214 seats:

    AZ-1 Schweikert (i) (R) retains his seat, narrowly beating Hodge (D)
    NY-22 Williams (R) narrowly beat Conole (D) to win an open seat

    At the same time, the Democrats gained 1 seat, standing at 207 seats (or 209 seats if counting the very likely wins in AK-1 and ME-2):

    OR-6 Salinas (D) narrowly beat Erickson (R) to win an open seat

    In California, the Ds continue to lead in these 4 races:

    CA-9 Harder (i)(D) v. Patti (R)
    CA-21 Costa (i)(D) v. Maher (R)
    CA-47 Porter (i)(D) v. Baugh (R)
    CA-49 Levin (i) (D) v. Maryott (R)

    The Rs continue to lead in these 5 races:

    CA-3 Jones (D) v. Kiley (R)
    CA-22 Salas (D) v. Valadao (i)(R)
    CA-27 Smith (D) v. Garcia (i)(R)
    CA-41 Rollins (D) v. Calvert (i)(R)
    CA-45 Chen (D) v. Steel (i)(R)

    This race is anyone's guess:

    CA-13 Grey (D) v. Duarte (R)

    Outside of California, these 2 races also remain uncalled:

    AZ-6 Engel (D) v. Ciscomani (R)
    CO-3 Frisch (D) v. Boebert (i)(R), within the margin for an official recount

  • 4. VIRick  |  November 14, 2022 at 9:49 pm

    Arizona: Hobbs (D) Beats Lake (R) for the Governorship

    Democrat Katie Hobbs is projected to win her race against Republican Kari Lake, ABC News reports, flipping the Arizona governor's seat for the first time in 14 years, as midterm voters across the nation appear to have delivered a stunning rejection of election-deniers and extremists in the midterm contests. Hobbs, the incumbent Secretary of State, cast her match-up with Lake as a choice between sanity and "chaos."

    Hobbs served 8 years in the Arizona Legislature before being elected Secretary of State, gaining prominence in 2020 with her defense of Arizona's voting system against a barrage of baseless fraud accusations that Trump and his allies thrust into the national spotlight.

  • 5. ianbirmingham  |  November 15, 2022 at 12:11 am

    Republicans just 1 win away from taking the House

    As of late Monday evening, just 14 House seats remain uncalled, with 217 seats projected for Republicans and 204 for Democrats so far. Democrats would have to capture all of them to retain the chamber — a near-impossible task.

    Republicans registered a series of big wins Monday night that all but guaranteed their House majority, even if it is increasingly looking like it will be a very slim win. In Arizona’s 1st District, GOP Rep. David Schweikert narrowly defeated Democrat Jevin Hodge, while Republican Juan Ciscomani, a longtime aide to Gov. Doug Ducey, beat out Democrat Kirsten Engel in the open 6th District.

    Races were also called for Republicans in California, with Rep. Michelle Steel and Rep. Ken Calvert both winning in their Southern California districts. Republican Brandon Williams also won an open seat in a swing district in the Syracuse area of upstate New York.

    Many of the last uncalled races are in California, which has historically taken longer than most other states to count votes. Republicans lead in three of them: Rep. David Valadao, Rep. Mike Garcia and Kevin Kiley are all ahead.

    Republicans also have a small lead in Colorado’s 3rd District, with Rep. Lauren Boebert ahead by slightly more than 1,000 votes.

  • 6. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 10:35 am

    Arizona: Ciscomani (R) Projected to Win in AZ-6

    As of 15 November 2022, ABC News reports that Republican Juan Ciscomani has been projected to win Arizona’s 6th District over Democrat Kirsten Engel. That puts the GOP at 215 House seats, just three shy of a majority.

    Meanwhile, the Democrats have 207 seats (209 when the ranked-choice seats are added), with 11 additional seats still undetermined, 10 in California, plus CO-3.

  • 7. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 1:11 pm

    California: Steel (i)(R) Projected to Win in CA-45

    ABC News reports that Republican Michelle Steel is projected to win reelection in California’s 45th District. This was expected, since she currently leads 54 percent to 46 percent, but it is another blow to Democrats’ rapidly dwindling hopes of winning the chamber.

    With this projection, Republicans are now at 216 House seats guaranteed. They need to win just two of the five undecided races where they currently lead to clinch the majority.

  • 8. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 4:43 pm

    Cuba: First and Second Equal Marriages in Guantánamo Province

    Per "Periódico Venceremos:"

    El primer matrimonio igualitario en Guantánamo fue reconocido el viernes 11 de noviembre de 2022 en la Oficina de Registro Civil de la urbe del Guaso, y tuvo como protagonistas a las ciudadanas Yanet María Carnet Jiménez y Aliuska Mayet Gaínza.

    The first equal marriage in Guantánamo was recognized on Friday, 11 November 2022, at the Civil Registry Office in the city of Guaso, and had as participants the citizens Yanet María Carnet Jiménez and Aliuska Mayet Gaínza.

    Per la Oficina Provincial de Estadística e Información de Guantánamo:

    En la provincia de Guantánamo, en el día de ayer, el 14 de noviembre 2022, se realizó el segundo matrimonio igualitario.

    Yesterday, 14 November 2022, the second equal marriage took place in Guantánamo Province.

  • 9. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 6:15 pm

    California: Calvert (i)(R) Projected to Win in CA-41

    ABC News reports that Republican Ken Calvert is projected to win re-election in California’s 41st District. Calvert. A 30-year incumbent who was thrown into a competitive seat in redistricting, he currently leads Democrat Will Rollins 52 percent to 48 percent.

    A total of 217 seats have now been projected for Republicans. They are now just one seat away from a majority.

  • 10. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 7:21 pm

    California: Levin (i)(D) Beats Maryott (R) in CA-49

    The 49th District is located in northern San Diego County and includes portions of Orange County. Mike Levin flipped the district to Democratic control in 2018, and has retained the seat ever since, with this being the second time he beat the same Republican challenger, Brian Maryott.

    This win gives the Democrats 208 seats overall (210 seats if the 2 ranked-choice seats were to be included).

  • 11. VIRick  |  November 15, 2022 at 9:38 pm

    California: Two More House Races Called for Incumbent Democrats

    ABC News reports that Democrat Josh Harder is projected to win California’s 9th District and that Democrat Jim Costa is projected to win the 21st District. Harder currently leads Republican Tom Patti 56 percent to 44 percent, while Costa leads Republican Michael Maher 55 percent to 45 percent.

    With these wins, just 8 House races remain unresolved (6 if the 2 ranked-choice seats were to already be counted as wins for Democrats). This brings the Ds tally to 210 seats (212 with the ranked-choice seats included), while the Rs, at 217, only need to win one more to clinch a majority. The Ds need all 6 of the remaining seats for a majority.

    These are the final seats still unresolved:
    AK-1 (ranked-choice)
    ME-2 (ranked-choice)

  • 12. VIRick  |  November 16, 2022 at 6:51 am

    Alaska Elections Up-Date, 15 November 2022

    In the Senate race, Republicans Kelly Tshibaka and Lisa Murkowski are now virtually tied with 43 percent of first-place votes each. Democrat Pat Chesbro has 10 percent, and Republican Buzz Kelley has 3 percent. In ranked-choice tabulations, most of Kelley’s votes are expected to go to Tshibaka, but most of Chesbro’s votes are expected to go to Murkowski, so Murkowski is in good shape here.

    In the House race, Democrat Mary Peltola is at 48 percent of first-place votes, followed by Republicans Sarah Palin at 26 percent and Nick Begich at 24 percent. This looks like it’s going to play out similarly to the special election earlier this year, where Begich’s second-place votes gave Peltola the win. Peltola is even closer to that magic 50 percent threshold here than in the special election.

    Finally, for governor, Republican Mike Dunleavy is still pulling a majority of first-place votes (51 percent), allowing him to win re-election without the ranked-choice tabulation.

    Alaska will report another big batch of votes this Friday, 18 November, and will then conduct the ranked-choice tabulations, as necessary, on Wednesday, 23 November, at which point we will finally know the winners in these races.

  • 13. ianbirmingham  |  November 16, 2022 at 9:18 am

    Transgender Americans facing ‘epidemic of violence’

    At least 32 transgender and gender non-conforming people have been killed since the beginning of the year, the Human Rights Campaign (HRC) reported Wednesday, bringing the number of violent deaths recorded by the group over the last decade to more than 300.

    At least 302 transgender individuals have been killed in the U.S. since 2013, when the FBI began reporting hate crimes motivated by anti-transgender bias, the HRC said Wednesday in an annual report.

    HRC Report:

    News article:

  • 14. scream4ever  |  November 16, 2022 at 12:20 pm

  • 15. scream4ever  |  November 16, 2022 at 1:16 pm

    62-37 cloture broken!!!

    Senators Blunt, Burr, Capitio, Collins, Ernst, Lummas, Murkowski, Portman, Romney, Sullivan, Tillis, and Young joined all Democrats in voting Aye.

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